Introduction

We group CVD diagnostics according to the following ICD diagnostics

ICD codes for causes
CVD Codes Description.ICD10
IHD I20 Angina pectoris
IHD I21 Acute myocardial infarction
IHD I22 Subsequent ST elevation and non-ST elevation myocardial infarction
IHD I23 Certain current complications following ST elevation and non-ST elevation myocardial infarction
IHD I24 Other acute ischemic heart diseases
IHD I25 Chronic ischemic heart disease
HSTR I60 Nontraumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage
HSTR I61 Nontraumatic intracerebral hemorrhage
HSTR I62 Other and unspecified nontraumatic intracranial hemorrhage
ISTR I63 Cerebral infarction
ISTR I65 Occlusion and stenosis of precerebral arteries, not resulting in cerebral infarction
ISTR I66 Occlusion and stenosis of cerebral arteries, not resulting in cerebral infarction
ISTR I67 Other cerebrovascular diseases
ISTR I69 Sequelae of cerebrovascular disease
HHD I10 Essential (primary) hypertension
HHD I11 Hypertensive heart disease
HHD I12 Hypertensive chronic kidney disease
HHD I13 Hypertensive heart and chronic kidney disease
HHD I15 Secondary hypertension
HHD I16 Hypertensive crisis

Demography

Population projections

We use DANE’s official population projections for 2024 - 2050 instead UN-WPP median estimates. Here some descriptive statistics

Epidemiology

This section shows the prevalence and infection rates raw data and estimation for 2019.

Prevalence rates

We use claim microdata from the Contributory Regime to estimate prevalence rates for grouped causes. Patient with at least one claim with a Dx code in our ICD-10 is tagged. Prevalence numerator is the sum of tagged patients and the denomitator is the average insured people in a year.

We compare the estimates rates to the based rates of the published model. At a first sight, estimated rates are lower than model base rates:

Estimated Prevalence vs Published model 2019 per thousand
cause year sex age_g PREVt0 Prevalencia
hhd 2019 Female 06.45-49 0.5745585 NA
hstroke 2019 Female 06.45-49 2.7946350 0.2793662
ihd 2019 Female 06.45-49 7.9361730 4.3042557
istroke 2019 Female 06.45-49 7.3552770 2.2349297
hhd 2019 Male 06.45-49 0.4673075 NA
hstroke 2019 Male 06.45-49 1.7634460 0.2590727
ihd 2019 Male 06.45-49 12.1707700 6.3894737
istroke 2019 Male 06.45-49 5.2246100 1.8105483
hhd 2019 Female 07.50-54 1.0590450 NA
hstroke 2019 Female 07.50-54 3.3719310 0.4334084
ihd 2019 Female 07.50-54 13.3120400 7.1548391
istroke 2019 Female 07.50-54 9.6120520 3.1980072
hhd 2019 Male 07.50-54 0.9047500 NA
hstroke 2019 Male 07.50-54 2.3384350 0.3580290
ihd 2019 Male 07.50-54 21.6029100 11.7916084
istroke 2019 Male 07.50-54 7.0819480 2.8128629
hhd 2019 Female 08.55-59 1.4337430 NA
hstroke 2019 Female 08.55-59 4.0854590 0.4961360
ihd 2019 Female 08.55-59 21.8082900 11.8423493
istroke 2019 Female 08.55-59 12.4932400 4.5162287
hhd 2019 Male 08.55-59 1.2539510 NA
hstroke 2019 Male 08.55-59 3.1348710 0.4892804
ihd 2019 Male 08.55-59 36.6100900 21.4444606
istroke 2019 Male 08.55-59 9.8419170 4.4384721
hhd 2019 Female 09.60-64 2.1788340 NA
hstroke 2019 Female 09.60-64 4.8941650 0.7349283
ihd 2019 Female 09.60-64 34.3364000 18.5802021
istroke 2019 Female 09.60-64 16.2241900 6.4795227
hhd 2019 Male 09.60-64 2.1822150 NA
hstroke 2019 Male 09.60-64 4.0699090 0.8195751
ihd 2019 Male 09.60-64 58.7672500 35.6811124
istroke 2019 Male 09.60-64 13.8246200 6.8935372
hhd 2019 Female 10.65-69 4.9504330 NA
hstroke 2019 Female 10.65-69 5.5550260 0.9041591
ihd 2019 Female 10.65-69 54.0097300 27.9578745
istroke 2019 Female 10.65-69 21.3305100 9.2278138
hhd 2019 Male 10.65-69 6.1593800 NA
hstroke 2019 Male 10.65-69 4.7915950 1.0373262
ihd 2019 Male 10.65-69 93.7193900 51.5857942
istroke 2019 Male 10.65-69 19.3602500 10.6362462
hhd 2019 Female 11.70-74 9.4940200 NA
hstroke 2019 Female 11.70-74 5.8961590 1.1187470
ihd 2019 Female 11.70-74 78.8542100 37.6911193
istroke 2019 Female 11.70-74 28.0107300 13.2185286
hhd 2019 Male 11.70-74 13.1262300 NA
hstroke 2019 Male 11.70-74 4.9864260 1.3205901
ihd 2019 Male 11.70-74 137.1658000 66.8702411
istroke 2019 Male 11.70-74 26.2524300 15.6646574
hhd 2019 Female 12.75+ 14.0410800 NA
hhd 2019 Female 12.75+ 18.6395600 NA
hstroke 2019 Female 12.75+ 5.9837230 1.3741792
hstroke 2019 Female 12.75+ 5.9874500 1.3741792
ihd 2019 Female 12.75+ 108.5482000 40.2666138
ihd 2019 Female 12.75+ 139.5900000 40.2666138
istroke 2019 Female 12.75+ 35.5508200 24.3758696
istroke 2019 Female 12.75+ 42.6127700 24.3758696
hhd 2019 Male 12.75+ 20.5636200 NA
hhd 2019 Male 12.75+ 28.1359000 NA
hstroke 2019 Male 12.75+ 4.5050420 1.5761452
hstroke 2019 Male 12.75+ 3.7500910 1.5761452
ihd 2019 Male 12.75+ 185.3376000 58.6850123
ihd 2019 Male 12.75+ 230.2488000 58.6850123
istroke 2019 Male 12.75+ 33.2883000 22.1376751
istroke 2019 Male 12.75+ 38.8009600 22.1376751

Mortality rates

We use DANE’s official population estimates and death counts for 2015-2019 to estimate death probabilities by cause, age and sex. Here some descriptive statistics:

Male nqx

Economic evaluation

This section shows the cost raw data and estimation for 2019. We estimate the average cost per person in a year using claims data from peopled insured in the Contributory regime.

Female cost

## [1] "Exchange Rate USD/COP2019 3277"

Male cost